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Subject: RE: [emergency] CAP and Signatures/Encryption
At 5:04 PM -0600 1/27/05, Bullard, Claude L (Len) wrote:
>I don't think they will entertain chaos theory during an Incident of
>National Significance.
Certainly anyone who's ever managed a major disaster has had to come
to terms with chaos theory.;-)
Anyway, we're talking about planning and design, not response. And
experienced emergency planners know to guard against being mesmerized
by Worst Case Scenarios, which, paradoxically, are often much simpler
than the much more common less dramatic ones.
For just one example, in a WCS there's no ambiguity about whether the
situation falls under emergency procedures or routine ones. In the
vast majority of real-world emergencies, the transition from routine
to emergency procedure ripples out only a limited distance through
the involved organizations and jurisdictions, and over a period of
time, which means that a significant number of transactions always
occur between folks who are operating in emergency mode and
counterparts who have different priorities. In thirty years in and
around emergency management I can't think of any major operation I've
seen where that mismatch of modalities didn't spawn difficulties.
Don't get me wrong, I'm an original and enthusiastic supporter of
NIMS, based largely on my experience in deploying essentially the
same thing in California during the 1990's (it was called SEMS
there.) The reason ICS works... and has been extended from the field
level upward over three decades to its national expression in NIMS...
is that it can be used continually in the world as it is, not only
for an INS/WCS/RBD (Really Bad Day).
Again, it would be convenient for us if we could make the simplifying
assumption that we're only devising capabilities for a full-blown
NRP-activating event... and I'm all for standardization where
possible... but our day-to-day context is much broader.
- Art
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